1. Association: This is a perception error. We tend to associate people, events, circumstances and create mental models that over time feed into corresponding narratives. These creative associations may be false to varied degrees and from multiple perspectives. For example: We tend to associate a black cat crossing their path with the outcomes of a planned event/activity. In reality both are disjoint events that do not influence each other's outcomes.
2. Analysis: We tend to analyze and misinterpret the relationship between usually unrelated variables (~ permutations and combinations). We do not realize that our personal experience data may be limited, may be biased, or might ve influenced by the narratives and biased interpretation of others who built similar narratives.
For example: we may not have personally experienced the influence of the a cat crossing the path on an outcome. We might have heard about others sharing their observations and without evaluating the the probability of truth on them, we directly apply it to our case.
3. Assumptions: we tend to build on associations and believe/assume without direct real world experience or evaluating corresponding real world evidence. For example, we believe certain things are happening because of certain reasons or assuming that certain things are happening because that is the way that they happen.
For example: People tend to associate a black cat crossing their path with a negative outcome in the task that they were planning to complete. We may not have experienced this outcome but believe in this association as it has been passed on over generations.
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